Eastern Caribbean Currency Union
نویسندگان
چکیده
With ECCU economies slowly emerging from the pandemic with scars, impact of war in Ukraine is a setback to nascent recovery. Higher food and energy prices, amid ongoing supply disruptions intra-regional transportation bottlenecks, are raising inflation, eroding income, lowering output growth, worsening fiscal external positions, threatening security. As result, inflation expected hover over 5½ percent 2022. Real GDP projected grow by 7½ 2022, leaving still well below pre-pandemic level. Fiscal deficits remain sizable, given continued pandemic- disaster-related spending temporary support address rising living costs, thereby keeping gross financing needs public debt at elevated levels near term. The financial system has remained broadly stable so far, adequate capital liquidity buffers, but nonperforming loans high could rise further following expiration ECCB’s loan moratoria program. outlook subject large downside risks, primarily increases commodity prices new COVID variants vaccine hesitancy, addition ever-present threat natural disasters.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: IMF country report
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1934-7685', '2227-8907']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400216794.002